Trip Group Limited Stock Performance

TRPCF Stock  USD 61.71  1.41  2.34%   
The entity has a beta of 0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Trip Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Trip Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Trip Group Limited has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to validate Trip Group's treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Trip Group Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Trip Group Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow19.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-4.1 B
  

Trip Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,400  in Trip Group Limited on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,229) from holding Trip Group Limited or give up 16.61% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trip Group Limited is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.801% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 25% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Trip, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trip Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of volatility.

Trip Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trip Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 61.71 90 days 61.71 
about 89.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trip Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.6 (This Trip Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Trip Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trip Group has a beta of 0.31. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trip Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trip Group Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trip Group Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trip Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trip Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trip Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trip Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.9161.7164.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.8054.6067.88
Details

Trip Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trip Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trip Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trip Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trip Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
5.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Trip Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trip Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trip Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trip Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 20.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (550 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.43 B.
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Trip Group Fundamentals Growth

Trip Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trip Group, and Trip Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trip Pink Sheet performance.

About Trip Group Performance

By analyzing Trip Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Trip Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Trip Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Trip Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Trip.com Group Limited operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours and in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. Trip.com Group Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the Peoples Republic of China. Trip operates under Travel Services classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 33732 people.

Things to note about Trip Group Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trip Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Trip Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trip Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 20.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (550 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.43 B.
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Trip Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trip Group's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Trip Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trip Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trip Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trip Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trip Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trip Group's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Trip Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trip Group's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trip Group's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Trip Pink Sheet analysis

When running Trip Group's price analysis, check to measure Trip Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trip Group is operating at the current time. Most of Trip Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trip Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trip Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trip Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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